Stock Tiger Update

For Thursday January 18, 2007  

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Dow -5.44 at 12577.15, Nasdaq -18.36 at 2479.42, S&P -1.28 at 1430.62

For this short week this update will also be short.

Options expire on Friday and a little pullback today as is often the case if the market had run up in front of expiration.

It is true that INTC did not announce fantastic earnings as they beat with a penny but said the margins will be less in 2007. Cisco Systems was again downgraded for the third time this week so that may have helped the Nasdaq pull back. Actually though all that matters is how high a price to earnings ratio are buyers willing to accept because if PE expansion happens then stock prices can actually rise as earnings lessen.

 It is much easier for the media though to just "blame" any rise and fall of the market to something that seems easy to say.

The fact is that the market did little of any meaning today as in options week they probably won't. We had 7 stocks hit their buy points today so we can clearly see we are in a solid bull market. Most did not close at their highs so strength was not as high as some days but still pretty good.

The Word Stock Market index closed back at its high and now just under the trend line.

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The Dow did very little at all...

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The Biotech index stood still.....

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Utilites still look weak but that happens when interest rates rise.

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Transports on the other hand look strong and are just below a break out which you would expect with oil prices dropping.

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The S&P 500 consolidating fine within a tight range.

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And the NYSE actually closed up for today.

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The Nasdaq was the weakest but it had the most gains this year so the pullback is healthy. Watch the support line now at $2468 -70.

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Gold still above the 50-day and may make another move up to the bottom of the trend line but if it does then I expect it to fall again.

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The morning video that we started this year is getting quite popular as it aims to point out in a few minutes some of the stocks on the watch list that are close to a possible move. It is on the home page but also has its separate page as well at. Morning Video

When a stock hits the buy point we usually change the color on the watch list to red but that does not mean that there is no longer a decent risk reward opportunity. Like CHCG made a gain but only minor and if it stays above the trend line it still looks like an attractive buy.

DSTI was one on the morning video that was not on the watch list as it had no exact price only to expect a reversal and to play it. Many of the solar stocks that have been going down recently reversed. DSTI ran up on 4 Million shares and pulled back on 1 million then 1/2 million so the chance that that it would go back up were very large. I especially like 2-3 day pullbacks. This one reversed right away today and at one point was up over 30%.

(By the way.. GRSR our long term play in solar still may move from the pink sheets to the OTC this month so that may help the activity. It has already moved off its $0.60 low up 50% but we are looking for  $dollars not pennies this year on it)

 

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Here are some additional stocks to watch

ANAD would have a break above $10.38

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BGO (gold) as pointed out in the weekend update did continue and break the trend line and now has a horizontal resistance buy point at $5.55 but it may be extended now so caution unless it rests a bit or the sector rallies.

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ARRS had had nice volume but sold off last week and today left a shadow top so still not decisive. The break would be over $13.80 but be aware of its recent habit of closing below its highs.

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STSI shot up today on word that a law suit may be favorable to the company and it had huge volume. At the moment it is a momo play as not all details are known. This means more caution but for momo traders this looks interesting.

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CCBEF one we traded maybe a year ago or less. Flavored bottled water. Been some very big volume so may break away from this level.

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ALTI a move again over $2.80 may start it going and has resistance at the trend line and 50-day at $2.90.

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THC a gap play - would enter it above the 200-day at $2.60


January 17 and still no snow in Moscow. Amazing really.

 

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The Financial Ad Trader
The Financial Ad Trader