The Russell 2000
in a stronger way broke the trend line and also fell below the
50-day EMA in what may be a bear flag.
The Dow Utilities broke
the 50-day EMA and trend line and has rallied a bit but also may
become a short.

The PBCOMP broke below the 20-day EMA.

So with those examples things do not look to promising but there
is another development that adds some hope.
A
lead dog of the markets has long been the Nasdaq 100 and
if this index could start moving again then the market would
likely be dragged up with it.
This ratio chart
with the S&P 500 shows the bull flag break out and the big
recent interest in the Nasdaq 100. Note the MACD crossover.

The index itself today broke above the short term trend line and is about at
horizontal resistance and has increased volume.

Here we see the Naz 100 using the QQQQ
chart and it sure looks like a high odds that at least the
highs will be soon tested. Also showing an MACD crossover so maybe
in some time a break out as well.

The Nasdaq meanwhile is also very
near a test of its many year highs. Of course we will stay
cautious as they may fail at the resistance but so many break
outs continue to work so we will continue as we have been as
long as they do.

Meanwhile oil has been falling which does put a strain on the
market. First of course is added worry that if the price is
lower it may mean a lower demand thus a slower economy. Actually
this may not be true as the amazing warm winter leads to
diminished need. The other thing is that as it falls a lot of
hedge funds had to sell making it drop further. It is not so
much a supply and demand price as the media wants you to
believe. It is now near the 50% retrace and the 200-day EMA so
we expect to see a rally which can help the markets. Higher oil
eases fears but it also gives more money to producing countries
and they buy US stocks. I doubt it is at all ready to move back
up for long term but a rally seems to be close.
Gold has bounced off the 200-day EMA and is back above the 50% retracement but
looks to me like a possible bear flag shaping up for another drop to come.
Thanks to all who voted for us at stockcharts as we are ahead at the moment
though not yet halfway through the month so we still appreciate each vote.

Now for some new setups to add to the watch
list.
MVIS was
a trade of ours recently and today in the chat room we noticed it
right at support and it had a red candle at the time. It was
a low risk buy because if the support did not hold then we would
have sold quickly for a small loss. It went up then 9% before
pulling back for the close. I wanted to point this out as a
reminder to check former stocks as were keep the charts on the
site as often you can find new low risk entries during the day.
UNTD may be a play over
$14.00. It tried today and failed but sometimes they take more
then one try. This was mentioned in the chat room as was the
next one.
IACI would break out over
$38.66 and we would want to see better volume than today.
TRMM from Longshort has a
level at @2.13 then $2.40.
EFUT has the trend
line overhead so wait for a break. This can be a wild stock.
CRUS that Mezz
brought up in the chat room already broke above its trend
line but has had very good volume so it has a pretty good chance
of a continuation this time as it is again over the 200-day and
maybe the forth time is a charm. Maybe will give a little
pullback first.
SYNM was a former play
that then pulled back and today had a super run. We will put it
on watch again but it may take some time to break the trend to make
it a buy.
GTW is a nice set up to
break out over $2.26
We mentioned that oil could
bounce soon and show this only because it is and oil stock at support. If it
breaks it does not look like a great time to short it as it
would be better then to wait for it to rally back up to broken
support. We would however watch this one to play as a bounce
long trade if oil does rally.
RATE also from the chat
room had a big volume move today but closed just under the trend
line so it would be a trend line break play.
CHTR another tech stock
looks nice as a play over $3.43
USNA gapped on an
increase in guidance and has top resistance $52.85
Earnings season has started so
do not forget to check stocks you hold.
That's a full lid - will see you on the weekend - have a good rest of the week!
That reminds me - also to Vote often - once a day
on the words
"Vote for It!"
Check the
Earnings Calendar
on all overnight holds.
Check the
message board
also
for other good stock candidates as there are several there right now.
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