I put in all the trades over the last four months
(as I have the closing prices of those listed already) in Excel and
checked to see the difference of selling at the close on the first
day or happening to sell at the high on the first day. If you told
your broker to buy all the picks at the buy price and then went to
work each day) and then to sell at the
close over the last 4 months you would be up 115%. If you happened
to sell at the high on the first day you would be up 206%. August
and September would add another 92% to this selling at the high
total so I imagine at least half of that to the selling at the
close. I imagine most people though did not sell all of their shares
on the first day so made additional gains as many continue still. Regardless it
is a good illustration that we are
beating all other sites hands down in our consistent gains. Buy at
the prices given and then set a tight stop if you cannot watch the
market. If you can and volume is high then you may want to buy more
then your usual amount and sell more on the first nice move.
Excluding dividends you only make money on stocks by selling so sell
often and do not let a winner turn into a loser as we have tons of
new winners. If you have not been making consistent nice gains then
you are not following the simple procedure of buying at the price
given and taking at least some profit the first day and keeping a
stop on the rest.
This will change someday when the market turns
bearish and breakouts do not work so well but that is not yet the
case.
On the the markets....
On Friday the Labor Department reported that there were 111,000 new nonfarm payroll
jobs added in January.
The consensus estimate were for higher figures and the average
gain for 2006 per month was
153,000. At first then this lower number seemed bearish but they
also, as usual, revised the December data and added an additional
39,000 jobs there. If they do the same next month for January then
January will have the 150k as expected. Wow - what a game.
The payroll data showed that there was no significant added
inflation as earnings rose only 0.2%. Many are concerned with
inflation as a way to combat it is to raise rates and people do not
want that so the news Friday ended up good - so far.
January was an up month and you know the saying
about how goes January so goes the rest of the year. This chars
shows that it may be true. The average gains are over 12% for the
year if January is up which it was.
Remember on the Dow chart I put in the Fibonacci
projection using the support area to set it up. It put the short
term top at 12695 and we hit 12683 on Friday. Will be
interesting to see how it works out but would certainly be no
surprise to see it work out this way and the Dow to
pullback this week so remember that if you sell too quickly you
can always buy back but if you wait to long your losses take
longer to make up. If the markets o pullback then preserve
capital to buy back lower.
The Dow Utilities came roaring back and almost back to the resistance.
The Dow Transports
continue with the break out. This is interesting as oil has been rising
so someone either expects the economy to continue at a higher rate
or for oil to go back down.
Nasdaq was the strongest on Friday but volume
was lower.

The NASI did turn back up and if it can break above the broken trend line
it will be a bullish sign. The MACD is about at the 0 line again also.

Last week we expressed concern that the BPCOMP which measures
the bullishness had dropped below the 20-day EMA but it turned back
up and broke to a new high.

However - the ratio chart compared to the S&P is still stuck near support. Since
the low, years ago, the Nasdaq has made nice gains but not compared to the other
major indexes. For a real nice rally to get underway the Nasdaq needs to
participate.

The VIX again at its low so a reversal and more volatility may soon be
with us.

The monthly QQQQ (Nasdaq 100) does show though that noting now is broken.

The SOX needs to break the trend line at about 480 to make the chips
interesting.

The NYSE index broke to new highs this week. I have put on a Fibonacci
projection based on lower support levels and it shows a possible upside target
at about 9417. That would also be close to the top trading channel line.

The number of NYSE stocks trading above their 200-day averages broke out and
continues to move higher. It is bullish but cautionary as it has not been this
high - at least in this decade.

The Russell 2000 broke out this week from its cup and handle type
pattern. Even with a correction this points to a likely continued move for the
next half year maybe. When it pulls back to test the 800 level it is important
that it can hold it.
The biotech sector after pulling back to test
its 50-day EMA is back again to try for the break out one more
time. We include 3 from this sector below.
We had not looked at the yield curve
in a while. This is the spread between the 10 year and 3 month bond
yields. It is bearish when the 10 year pays less than the 3 month as
usually you expect to get higher returns if you tie up money longer.
Right now the 3 month is paying 5.14% and the 10 year only 4.83%.
In the past when this has been below 1 for 90 days then a recession
follows within 9 months. That would put it at maximum in July. So
maybe it is "different" this time? So far the stock market does not
at all agree with the bond market on this.
Here is the oil rally from the
recent lows. You see the stochastics are now in overbought territory
and the price is getting close to the trend line and 50% retracement
so we expect a pullback again there.
The world stock index also now at all time high and
again here I have overlaid a Fibonacci projection and the short term
top may be very near.
Gold rallied this week then pulled back. For the most
part gold stocks do not agree with the rally and have not done
especially well. We have been having such spectacular success with
our "normal" picks and not finding such good ones now in the gold
sector keeps us on the fence at the time being for gold. Motorhead
though on the message board points out
GBN with a bo at $2.04
Maybe this bottom on this ratio
chart will hold but we would prefer to buy gold stocks again when
they are on fire fire. Here it would be if this breaks above the
upside line.

Here is the economic calendar from briefing com.

Now 15 new ones for out watch list. With 38 stocks that broke out this week we
needed many to take there place. I received ads for sites and one at $50 a month
gives you about 7-10 new ideas each week or 28 to 40 a month. We had that many
winners alone in only one. Another now advertising on CNBC wants to sell 12
picks a week in channels to choose from - ha.
Ad yet another site for $99/month said they have 4 picks a day but it seems they
only had the last winner over a week ago - one winner.
well, on to ours...........
Several of these are suggestions from subscribers in the chat room as we have
many good eyes watching for good set ups. I did not
have all the name information when the charts were made but did, where I could,
give some credit on the picks page to those contributing. Thanks a lot.
FNF our only financial stock
would break out over $24.36
MSI has had several green
days and think it will be worth a play over the line if volume is
strong.
While searching for picks late
Friday afternoon MSPD came up right after MSI above.
It was too late then to buy and at this point this is not on the
picks list with a buy point but worth watching. Note on the left the
old one day support at $2.26 in June - that could still offer some
resistance as it is a technical level and many players may use it.
This stock in the past has had a habit of pulling back after a run
up so it may again this time. The positive thing is it is now above
the 200-day and the 50-day EMA is now pointing up.

ASTE over $37.40 looks good and volume has been increasing.
TRBM after the huge
volume day in mid January the volume is quite low at 100k shares. If
it picks up it may take out that 200-day to stay so will watch
the $2.35 area for an entry on volume.
HTI has two possible
entries - over $8 and over $8.50
TG over $23.55. This is
one that some may scale into a bit as it looks pretty good for a try
at least to the break out point. What I mean is that instead of
buying your full amount only on a break out that you make a smaller
buy in the current range and add if it dips a little or when it
breaks out. That has more risk but gives added profits if it works
out. You would of course use a stop in case it goes the wrong way.
THRM bo over $10.50
BVF mentioned in the chat
room has a nice clean setup over $21.14 for first move to $21.93
then a possible second break out.
CMS - energy - pretty
clear over $17.00
EP - energy - over $15.75
but note the volume has been dropping so need to see a pick up in
that.
RHT - Red Hat. The
white lines are all equal length. Note that often at about that
length of time that this stock makes a big move one way or another. Maybe
it will repeat this pattern. If so it looks like in less than 5 days it
will make some move. Lets figure it will be up and buy over $23.20
Earlier we showed the chart of the
biotech sector so thought we better show a few charts from that
sector.
IMMU has
had quite a habit of going up then pulling back in a bull flag then
making new highs. This last pullback was to the trend line and may
have broken out of the bull flag so would buy over $4.40 on good
volume.
GLGC has had quite a few
heavy down volume days but despite that has been going up. I would
give it a try at $1.80 if volume looked like it would run above
average. Note the 200-day at $1.95 as that may be resistance.
CELG pulled back to the
38% retrace and after consolidating started back up on increased
volume. Above $56.45 look like it could be bought
While I think f of it - our long
term pick GRSR is fine. The move to the OTC has not taken
pace yet but will and of course there are very short term traders
who were gaming that move so they seemed to not want to wait so a
low volume pullback is all. NNRF is also working on the SEC
filing to make them fully reporting.
Here is a penny stock sent in.
EEGC has resistance at $0.132. this is high risk so only for
those used to this type stock.

Around Moscow where there are apartment
buildings you find small plain brick buildings that house the water
pipe controls for that area. They were not attractive and sometimes
were the target of graffiti. The city started a couple of years ago
to hire artists in the summer to paint all of those building an
interesting and attractive way so now there are hundreds of these
art work buildings around town. Here are a couple of examples.

Once again - You can vote once a day
on the words
"Vote for It!"
and help us finish of February in the top position.
If you
like interesting photography this site has some
really super creative photos from Chema Madoz
http://haha.nu/creative/creative-photos-by-chema-madoz
That's a full lid - see you
during the week. Have a great one and stop in the
chat room during
market hours to say hello.
Check the
current
Earnings Calendar
on all overnight holds.
Check the current
message board
also
for other good stock candidates as there are several there right now. Look as an
example for the basically running thread from user MB in the picks
section. He has a lot of good movers that fall outside the setup criteria we
feature but have made some excellent gains. He features both stocks and funds.
Our break out and pullback plays are not the only way to make money. I see as
one he mentioned to watch as a penny stock
SBEI thanks MB.
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